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Zimbabwe’s Capital Markets at Risk: Institutional Failure, Distorted Incentives and the Slow Hollowing-Out of the ZSE

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The reconstruction and re-engineering of the Zimbabwean economy was never going to be a linear or uncomplicated exercise. What it should have entailed, however—as the President himself has recently articulated—is the deliberate rebuilding of credible, rules-based market institutions capable of mobilising capital, pricing risk efficiently and restoring investor confidence. On this front, the evidence is increasingly troubling.

As stress becomes more visible in the domestic equity market, serious questions arise as to whether Zimbabwe is, in fact, moving along the correct economic trajectory. The country now risks squandering one of Africa’s oldest and once most respected capital market institutions: the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE). Rather than being strengthened as a central pillar of capital formation, the ZSE is steadily being hollowed out, both in substance and credibility.

Compounding this decline is the evolving role of the Victoria Falls Stock Exchange (VFEX). While initially conceived as an offshore-oriented platform to attract foreign currency inflows and broaden capital access, VFEX increasingly resembles a balance-sheet preservation enclave rather than a genuine engine of productive capital raising. Listings and migrations appear driven less by expansionary investment objectives and more by defensive corporate strategies seeking refuge from domestic macro-financial instability. This is a distortion of purpose, not a sign of market maturation.

What makes this outcome particularly striking is that Zimbabwe is not lacking in highly educated individuals occupying senior policymaking positions or dominating public economic discourse. Yet there remains a profound disconnect between technical competence and an appreciation of how modern market economies function in practice. At times, one is left with the uneasy sense that basic principles of market rationality—liquidity, transparency, price discovery and institutional credibility—are being treated as optional rather than foundational.

Equity markets do not exist in isolation. They are anchored in deep, credible and well-functioning financial markets that offer a full spectrum of instruments for savings mobilisation, intermediation and risk pricing. Bonds, money markets, derivatives and long-term credit markets are not peripheral add-ons; they are the ecosystem within which equities derive meaning and value.

Zimbabwe’s failure lies in its inability to properly rebuild—or even conceptually understand—this ecosystem. As a structurally dollarised and policy-conflicted economy, financial market development has been reduced, through misjudgement and conceptual error, to an over-engineered foreign-exchange mechanism masquerading as a financial system. The consequence is a narrow, distorted market architecture incapable of supporting long-term capital formation.

This dysfunction has steadily eroded confidence in the country’s stock exchanges. Corporate balance sheets have lost credibility amid unconventional dual-currency financial reporting, opaque inflation adjustments, accounting arbitrage and the absence of reliable long-term cash-flow predictability. In such an environment, valuation becomes speculative, governance signals weaken and equity markets lose their central economic purpose.

Paradoxically, this deterioration is occurring at a time when the economy is awash with liquidity. Gold revenues and diaspora remittances continue to inject substantial capital into the system. Yet instead of being intermediated through formal financial and capital markets, much of this liquidity is being channelled into excessive high-end real estate developments. These projects are routinely celebrated as markers of economic revival, when in reality they often reflect capital flight from financial markets rather than confidence in them.

In a properly functioning economy, such capital would have been mobilised through equity and debt markets, deepening liquidity, broadening ownership, funding productive enterprises and supporting sustainable growth. Zimbabwe’s failure to achieve this intermediation represents not merely a missed opportunity, but a structural indictment of its market design.

The exit of Econet from the ZSE must therefore be read not as an isolated corporate event, but as a powerful systemic signal. It reflects declining confidence in the integrity, functionality and strategic relevance of Zimbabwe’s equity markets. More fundamentally, it exposes a failure to internalise what defines a modern, market-based economy—one in which capital markets are trusted institutions at the centre of growth, not peripheral casualties of macroeconomic disorder.

As matters stand, Zimbabwe’s market system is deeply dislocated. Without urgent and credible structural correction—rooted in institutional rebuilding, policy coherence and genuine financial market development—the erosion of the country’s capital markets risks becoming irreversible, with profound long-term consequences for investment, growth and economic sovereignty. – Editor’s Note

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